Betfair.net

The Tennessee Titans will look to win their first game of the season Sunday. After losing just three regular season games all last season they have dropped their first three decisions of 2009. With games against the Indianapolis Colts and the New England Patriots coming up in weeks five and six it is a must win situation this week for Tennessee.

The Jacksonville Jaguars picked up their first win of the season last week against the Houston Texans. The Jaguars dropped their first two games of the season to the Indianapolis Colts and Arizona Cardinals. In the 31-24 win over the Texans, Jacksonville relied heavily on running back Maurice Jones-Drew. Jones-Drew ran for 119 yards and 3 touchdowns, while adding 28 receiving yards.

Expect this week that the Jaguars will depend on Jones-Drew once again. It won't be the same story as the Titans' run defence is much better than the Texans'. If you can shut down Jones-Drew, you shut down the Jacksonville offence.

On the other side of the ball the Titans have a similar story as they will depend on the run game. Titans' running back Chris Johnson may very well be the best running back in the AFC. So far this season Johnson is averaging 6.6 yards per carry.

Odds have been sliding in Tennessee's favor. On Betfair, trading started in the [1.76] range. Now you can back the Titans in the [1.70] range. I still like the Titans here with their run game. Last week, in Jacksonville's win they allowed over five yards per carry. The Titans have some value this week.