22 May 2009

NBA Tips

Learning from the stats

Accuscore provides us with the latest betting data prior to the clash between Orlando and Cleveland.

Orlando beating Cleveland in Game 1 was not a fluke. Yes, LeBron and the Cavs are probably the better team and are still the favorites to win this series, but the Magic did win 59 games. Orlando also have the offensive firepower to score against good defenses.

Current AccuScore projections have Cleveland winning 70% of simulations by 6 points on average. The market odds on the moneyline for the Magic are at 6.0 (+500) which imply a probability of just 16.7%. Like they were in Game 1, the Magic are good value bets here again.

There are again three Under/Over totals listed for this game: 178.5, 188.5, and 198.5. AccuScore's Over/Under Tool sets the average projected total at 187. Under 188.5 points is occurring in 52.7%. Under 198.5 is occurring at a rate of 69%.

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