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In a classic Game 1 the Lakers and Kobe Bryant battled in a close game, eventually pulling off a gritty 105-103 win. Bryant scored 18 of his 40 points in the fourth quarter helping his team outlast the Nuggets.

Carmelo Anthony scored 39 points to keep Denver in the game, while Chauncey Billups hit two late threes to help outset an overall poor offensive game.

AccuScore's baseline forecast has the Lakers winning 74.7% of simulations by 7.9 points on average. There are multiple lines available in the Betfair market. The baseline results show that the Lakers are favorites to cover both -4.5 and -5.5 points.

Another useful tool available on AccuScore is the Over/Under which sets the average total at 210.5. Each side of this bet is a 50/50 proposition. The Betfair market odds are currently at 1.91 which actually implies a probability of 52% meaning both sides are actually poor values.

Over 200.5 is projected to occur at 67.9% according to simulations. The current Betfair market odds on the Over at 200.5 are just 1.15 which implies a probability of 87%, which makes also it a bad value bet.

To analyze even more point totals and prop bets visit AccuScore.