10 Jul 2009

Finding the value with the Indians

Accuscore send us their latest betting data to help us find the value with the Indians.

At first glance, the Indians might not seem like the best team for bettors, even with AccuScore's side value system. For the season, Cleveland has been slightly negative on the road: just over .500 (22-20) for a return of -150.

Recent trends however have been much more profitable. Over the past 14 days, side value has returned +282 for Cleveland road games. Money line has also been positive over the past two weeks.

There is a good explanation for the recent increase in accuracy. The Indians have been notorious over the past few seasons for shuffling lineups constantly, virtually on a daily basis. The lineup has been largely stable over recent weeks with Travis Hafner and Grady Sizemore returning from injury. Thus, simulations have been more accurate.

Friday, Cleveland starts a three game series with Detroit. For complete forecasts and simulations check back at AccuScore for the latest.